MLB Home Run Leader Odds 2021: Mike Trout, Pete Alonzo Favored, But These Three Longshots Could Surprise

With just two weeks until MLB returns it is time to start thinking about some prop wagers. We already covered the MLB Over/Under win totals, now it’s time for a fan favorite, the home run leader. Every baseball fan loves the long-ball! The home run is one of the most exciting moments in the game. It also is a game-changer. So which players are favored to hit the most homers in 2021? The MLB home run leader odds are out, so let’s break it down.

Mike Trout tops MLB Home Run Leader Odds board

Angels slugger Mike Trout is the preseason favorite to hit the most home runs in 2021 – and for good reason. Trout has averaged 39 home runs, 103 RBI, and a .304 batting average in his 10-year career. Yes, that is Hall of Fame material.

Right behind Trout is rising star Pete Alonzo. The Mets phenom, who smacked 53 home runs in 2019, was the runaway ROY winner. Last season Alonzo hit 16 home runs in just 57 games. With stats like that, it is fair to say that the 26-year-old slugger should be on his way to another promising season in the Big Apple.

Rounding out the top three favorites is Rangers slugger Joey Gallo. Gallo hit 41 bombs in 2017 and 40 in 2018. In 2019 Gallo only played in 70 games yet he hit 22 homers. If he can stay healthy, Joey Gallo should be in the home run race into September.

Three long-shots worth the risk, odds

Okay, we know the favorites, but which players with longer odds could take home the 2021 HR title? Here are three we are keeping an eye on in terms of helping us make a nice payday this fall!

Aaron Judge — It may be cliche but true. If the big guy can stay healthy he could easily take home the prize. The 2017 ROY hit 27 home runs in both 2018 and 2019. In both of those seasons, he missed over 50 games. Last season Judge only played in 28 games but still managed to hit 9 home runs. At +2000, ($100 wins $2000) Judge is well worth the risk.

Fernando Tatis, Jr. — This kid is a superstar in the making. Last season in just 59 games, Tatis hit 17 home runs. A full season of 162-games has him projected between 38 and 44 home runs. At +2500, a small wager on this youngster is a smart wager.

Luke Voit — His numbers just keep rising. From 14 homers in 2018 to 22 in 2019 to an incredible 22 last season (in just 56 games), Voit is well worth the risk. The short porch in New York added to the huge odds set at +3000 makes this a no-brainer!

Here is a look at the current odds to win the 2021 Home Run title.

  • Pete Alonso (N.Y. Mets) +1000
  • Mike Trout (L.A. Angels) +1000
  • Joey Gallo (Texas) +1100
  • Juan Soto (Washington) +1200
  • Ronald Acuna, Jr. (Atlanta) +1300
  • Cody Bellinger (L.A. Dodgers) +1300
  • Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox) +1500
  • Matt Olson (Oakland) +1800
  • Bryce Harper (Philadelphia) +2000
  • Aaron Judge (N.Y. Yankees) +2000
  • Giancarlo Stanton (N.Y. Yankees) +2000
  • Yordan Alvarez (Houston) +2000
  • Nelson Cruz (Minnesota) +2000
  • Trevor Story (Colorado) +2200
  • Eugenio Suarez (Cincinnati) +2200
  • Miguel Sano (Minnesota) +2500
  • Jorge Soler (Kansas City) +2500
  • Fernando Tatis, Jr. (San Diego) +2500
  • Matt Chapman (Oakland) +3000
  • Gleyber Torres (N.Y. Yankees) +3000
  • Luke Voit (N.Y. Yankees) +3000
  • Jose Abreu (Chicago White Sox) +3300
  • Rafael Devers (Boston) +3300
  • Manny Machado (San Diego) +3300
  • Franmil Reyes (Cleveland) +3300
  • Christian Yelich (Milwaukee) +3300

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